Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 35
Apr 30, 2022 at 2pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium
Istanbul Basaksehir

Kasimpasa
2 - 3
Istanbul

Fall (43'), Muleka (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Gulbrandsen (28'), Trezeguet (45'), Turuc (52' pen.)
Cigerci (13'), Turuc (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

Last Six:
Last Game: Altay 2-4 Kasimpasa
Saturday, May 21 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir

Last Six:
Last Game: Istanbul 3-1 Trabzonspor
Sunday, May 22 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
33.32%25.12%41.56%
Both teams to score 56.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.27%46.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.01%68.99%
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11%26.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.8%62.21%
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59%22.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.07%55.93%
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 33.32%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 41.56%
    Draw 25.11%
KasimpasaDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 7.92%
2-1 @ 7.78%
2-0 @ 5.2%
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-2 @ 2.55%
3-0 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 33.32%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 6.03%
2-2 @ 5.81%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 9.01%
1-2 @ 8.85%
0-2 @ 6.74%
1-3 @ 4.41%
0-3 @ 3.36%
2-3 @ 2.9%
1-4 @ 1.65%
0-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 41.56%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Istanbul

Kasimpasa
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Istanbul Basaksehir
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 1pm
Istanbul
2-1
Kasimpasa
Visca (53'), Tekdemir (90+2')
Duarte (45'), Tekdemir (85')
Hajradinovic (78')
Travnik (76'), Hajradinovic (84'), Haspolat (90+7')
Apr 22, 2021 5pm
Kasimpasa
0-1
Istanbul

Serbest (31'), Sadiku (78')
Chadli (36')
Duarte (90+2')
Dec 27, 2020 4pm
Istanbul
2-2
Kasimpasa
Chadli (27'), Visca (90+2')
Da Silva (58')
Erdogan (36'), Hodzic (85')
Kara (15'), Taskiran (88'), Tirpan (90+5')
Kara (43')
Jul 26, 2020 3pm
Kasimpasa
3-2
Istanbul
Koita (9', 28'), Erdogan (62')
Fernandes (86')
Ba (78'), Visca (80')
Topal (29'), Elia (44')
Dec 28, 2019 2.30pm
Istanbul
5-1
Kasimpasa
Ba (2', 28'), Crivelli (6'), Fernandes (26' og.), Elia (63')
Crivelli (25'), Ba (48')
Quaresma (66' pen.)
Thiam (11'), Veigneau (34'), Hajradinovic (86')