Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeni Malatyaspor win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeni Malatyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Kasimpasa in this match.