Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altay win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altay win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Yeni Malatyaspor win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Altay in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Altay.