Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Altay had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for an Altay win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.