Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 60.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Yeni Malatyaspor win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fatih Karagumruk in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fatih Karagumruk.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 60.34% | 22.74% | 16.92% |
| Both teams to score 47.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.94% | 51.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.08% | 72.92% |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.47% | 16.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.72% | 46.28% |
| Yeni Malatyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.45% | 43.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.25% | 79.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Yeni Malatyaspor |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% 2-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 7% 3-1 @ 5.82% 4-0 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.42% 5-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.86% Total : 60.33% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 0-0 @ 7.2% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.74% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 5.98% 1-2 @ 4.48% 0-2 @ 2.49% 1-3 @ 1.24% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.62% Total : 16.92% |


