Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.