Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.