Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.