Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Giresunspor had a probability of 16.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Giresunspor win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.