Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.