Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 1-0 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
