Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Caykur Rizespor win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
| 64.26% | 20.69% | 15.04% |
| Both teams to score 49.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.03% | 45.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.72% | 68.28% |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.42% | 13.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.3% | 40.7% |
| Caykur Rizespor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.03% | 42.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.74% | 79.27% |
| Score Analysis |
Fatih Karagumruk 64.26%
Caykur Rizespor 15.05%
Draw 20.69%
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
| 1-0 @ 11.65% 2-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 7.74% 3-1 @ 6.54% 4-0 @ 3.86% 4-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.76% 5-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.38% 5-1 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.77% Total : 64.26% | 1-1 @ 9.84% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 4.15% Other @ 0.87% Total : 20.69% | 0-1 @ 4.93% 1-2 @ 4.16% 0-2 @ 2.08% 1-3 @ 1.17% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.54% Total : 15.05% |


