Fenerbahce will be looking to inflict revenge on their rivals after Basaksehir got the better of them in the reverse fixture, and on home soil they are favourites to do so.
The hosts are in slightly better form than the away team, but in rivalries form does seem to become irrelevant, but what is almost certain is that it will be a closely-fought clash.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 23.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
