Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.