Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Konyaspor had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Konyaspor win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Konyaspor would win this match.