Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 11
Oct 31, 2021 at 10.30am UK
Kadir Has Stadium

Kayserispor
2 - 1
Karagumruk

Gavranovic (73'), Thiam (90+3')
Bulut (76'), Kemen (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bertolacci (23')
Biglia (14'), Viviano (29'), Borini (49')
Luckassen (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kayserispor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.

Result
KayserisporDrawFatih Karagumruk
44.22%26.59%29.19%
Both teams to score 50.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64%54.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26%75.74%
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55%24.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.12%58.88%
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44%33.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8%70.19%
Score Analysis
    Kayserispor 44.21%
    Fatih Karagumruk 29.19%
    Draw 26.58%
KayserisporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 8.14%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.47%
4-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 44.21%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 8.2%
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 8.96%
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-2 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.19%

How you voted: Kayserispor vs Karagumruk

Kayserispor
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Fatih Karagumruk
57.1%
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