Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 16.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.