Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 20
Jan 8, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Gaziantep Arena

Gaziantep
3 - 1
Karagumruk

Soyalp (6'), Demir (18'), Figueiredo (73')
Merkel (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Mor (50')
Torun (10'), Erkin (39'), Bekaroglu (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Gaziantep and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.

Result
GaziantepDrawFatih Karagumruk
46.82%24.07%29.12%
Both teams to score 58.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.2%43.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.81%66.19%
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13%18.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.67%50.33%
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83%28.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14%63.87%
Score Analysis
    Gaziantep 46.82%
    Fatih Karagumruk 29.12%
    Draw 24.07%
GaziantepDrawFatih Karagumruk
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 8.87%
2-0 @ 7.39%
3-1 @ 5.21%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.17%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 11.23%
2-2 @ 5.93%
0-0 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-1 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 4.27%
1-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 1.8%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 29.12%

How you voted: Gaziantep vs Karagumruk

Gaziantep
81.8%
Draw
0.0%
Fatih Karagumruk
18.2%
11
rhs 2.0


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