Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 32.81% | 24.06% | 43.12% |
| Both teams to score 60.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.95% | 42.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.55% | 64.45% |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% | 24.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.42% | 59.58% |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.28% | 19.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.27% | 51.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 2-1 @ 7.7% 1-0 @ 6.83% 2-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.81% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.25% 0-0 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 9% 0-1 @ 7.99% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 4.87% 0-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 3.38% 1-4 @ 1.98% 0-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.11% Total : 43.12% |


