Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.