Karagumruk
3 - 2
Kasimpasa

Ugur (31'), Pesic (38'), Bistrovic (72')
Durmaz (10'), Ugur (66'), Mor (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Serbest (67'), Muleka (82')
Elmali (40'), Serbest (45'), Spajic (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Kasimpasa
48.04%	25.49%	26.47%

Both teams to score 51.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.41%

51.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.62%

73.38%

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.52%

21.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.47%

54.53%

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.78%

34.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.08%

70.92%

Score Analysis

Fatih Karagumruk 48.04%

Kasimpasa 26.47%

Draw 25.49%

Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Kasimpasa
1-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 8.69% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-0 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.39% Total : 48.04%	1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 7.88% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.23% Total : 26.47%