Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Giresunspor had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Giresunspor win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.