Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, May 20 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Hatayspor | 38 | -4 | 53 |
| 13 | Galatasaray | 38 | -2 | 52 |
| 14 | Kayserispor | 38 | -7 | 47 |
Sunday, May 22 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Antalyaspor | 38 | 7 | 59 |
| 8 | Fatih Karagumruk | 38 | -5 | 57 |
| 9 | Adana Demirspor | 38 | 13 | 55 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 57.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 57.7% | 21.24% | 21.06% |
| Both teams to score 59.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.55% | 38.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.26% | 60.74% |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.85% | 13.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.18% | 39.82% |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.31% | 31.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.89% | 68.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 8.58% 1-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 6.67% 3-0 @ 5.8% 3-2 @ 3.83% 4-1 @ 3.38% 4-0 @ 2.94% 4-2 @ 1.94% 5-1 @ 1.37% 5-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.68% Total : 57.7% | 1-1 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 5.66% 0-0 @ 4.17% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 5.58% 0-1 @ 4.79% 0-2 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.17% 1-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.58% Total : 21.06% |
How you voted: Galatasaray vs Karagumruk
Pesic (35'), Bertolacci (69'), Eggen Hedenstad (78'), Durmaz (82'), Erkin (83'), Ugur (90+2')


