Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 2pm UK
 

Altay
2 - 4
Kasimpasa

Ozturk (45+1'), Kappel (81' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
Eysseric (35', 50'), Bozok (42', 63')
Haspolat (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Altay and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Altay 2-4 Kasimpasa
Saturday, May 21 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Altay 2-4 Kasimpasa
Saturday, May 21 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 40%. A win for Altay had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Altay win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
AltayDrawKasimpasa
35.2% (-1.11 -1.11)24.8% (0.071000000000002 0.07)40% (1.039 1.04)
Both teams to score 58.28% (-0.412 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.1% (-0.471 -0.47)44.9% (0.47 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.75% (-0.454 -0.45)67.25% (0.452 0.45)
Altay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (-0.83600000000001 -0.84)24.91% (0.834 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.46% (-1.175 -1.18)59.53% (1.173 1.17)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (0.309 0.31)22.38% (-0.31 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12% (0.46 0.46)55.88% (-0.462 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Altay 35.2%
    Kasimpasa 40%
    Draw 24.79%
AltayDrawKasimpasa
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.38% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 35.2%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.112 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.125 0.13)
0-1 @ 8.35% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.238 0.24)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.102 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.146 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.62% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.065 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.13% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 40%

How you voted: Altay vs Kasimpasa

Altay
7.1%
Draw
14.3%
Kasimpasa
78.6%
14
Head to Head
Dec 25, 2021 10.30am
Kasimpasa
2-0
Altay
Donk (34'), Bozok (88')
Haspolat (44')

Naderi (10'), Thiam (45+3'), Pinares (46'), Karayel (65'), Rodriguez (79')
Karayel (67')