Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Altay had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Altay win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.