Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 2pm UK
 
Alanyaspor

Karagumruk
0 - 1
Alanyaspor


Luckassen (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Karaca (37')
Awaziem (33'), Fer (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Alanyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAlanyaspor
47.42% (-0.629 -0.63)24.53% (0.41 0.41)28.05% (0.217 0.22)
Both teams to score 55.97% (-1.213 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.5% (-1.671 -1.67)46.49% (1.668 1.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.23% (-1.59 -1.59)68.77% (1.586 1.59)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.31% (-0.919 -0.92)19.68% (0.917 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.32% (-1.514 -1.51)51.67% (1.511 1.51)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (-0.705 -0.7)30.31% (0.704 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (-0.849 -0.85)66.49% (0.848 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 47.42%
    Alanyaspor 28.05%
    Draw 24.52%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAlanyaspor
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.401 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-0 @ 4.27% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 47.42%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.41 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.359 0.36)
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.25% (0.135 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.05%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Alanyaspor

Fatih Karagumruk
28.6%
Draw
42.9%
Alanyaspor
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2021 1pm
Feb 27, 2021 10.30am
Karagumruk
2-0
Alanyaspor
Ndao (50'), Borini (88')
Ndao (54'), Bertolacci (54')

Davidson (55'), Ucan (66'), Juanfran (86')
Oct 25, 2020 1pm