Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.