Istanbul Basaksehir
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 2pm UK
Fatih Terim Stadium
Trabzonspor

Istanbul
3 - 1
Trabzonspor

Okaka (11'), Epureanu (31'), Gurler (42')
Okaka (60'), Gurler (78')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Nwakaeme (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Trabzonspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawTrabzonspor
48.8% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)25.28% (0.017000000000003 0.02)25.91% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.81% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)51.15% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27% (-0.038 -0.04)73% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)20.98% (0.046000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (-0.067 -0.07)53.73% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Trabzonspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.56% (0.013000000000005 0.01)34.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.85% (0.013000000000002 0.01)71.15% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 48.8%
    Trabzonspor 25.91%
    Draw 25.28%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawTrabzonspor
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.81% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 48.8%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.41% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.91%

How you voted: Istanbul vs Trabzonspor

Istanbul Basaksehir
31.3%
Draw
25.0%
Trabzonspor
43.8%
16
Head to Head
Dec 25, 2021 4pm
Feb 19, 2021 4pm
Istanbul
0-1
Trabzonspor

Crivelli (64'), Da Silva (90')
Da Silva (90+5')
Sari (79')
Can Genc (48'), Sari (88')
Oct 17, 2020 5pm
Trabzonspor
0-2
Istanbul

Kinali (52')
Kahveci (32'), Visca (53')
Mar 15, 2020 1pm
Trabzonspor
1-1
Istanbul
Skrtel (63' og.)
Campi (83')
Ba (56')
Buruk (37'), Tekdemir (80')
Oct 28, 2019 5pm
Istanbul
2-2
Trabzonspor
Visca (67' pen.), Skrtel (79')
Skrtel (59'), Tekdemir (72')
Sturridge (61' pen.), Sorloth (96')
Cakir (65'), Nwakaeme (73'), Sari (97')