Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 1-0 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.