Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.