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UEFA Conference League

Royal Antwerp
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Bosuilstadion
Lillestrom

Antwerp
2 - 0
Lillestrom

Valencia (11'), Verstraete (69')
Janssen (66'), Verstraete (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Andre Helland (81'), Svendsen (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Royal Antwerp and Lillestrom, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Royal Antwerp

Last Six:
Last Game: Antwerp 4-2 Leuven
Sunday, August 7 at 8pm in Belgian Pro League

Lillestrom

Last Six:
Last Game: Lillestrom 1-1 Tromso
Sunday, August 7 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Royal Antwerp would win this match.

Result
Royal AntwerpDrawLillestrom
40.73% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)25.67%33.59% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 54.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.87% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)49.13% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.8% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)71.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Royal Antwerp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)23.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)58.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Lillestrom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.11% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)27.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.5% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)63.49% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Royal Antwerp 40.73%
    Lillestrom 33.59%
    Draw 25.67%
Royal AntwerpDrawLillestrom
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.73%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 6.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-2 @ 5.43%
1-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 33.59%

How you voted: Antwerp vs Lillestrom

Royal Antwerp
80.8%
Draw
13.5%
Lillestrom
5.8%
52
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2022 6pm
Lillestrom
1-3
Antwerp
Knudsen (45+3')
Fridjonsson (34'), Ibrahimaj (48')
Almeida (5'), Nainggolan (50', 86')
Janssen (62'), Gerkens (69'), Valencia (85')