Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Ross County | Draw | Motherwell |
34.54% ( 0.93) | 26.14% ( -0.8) | 39.32% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 53.57% ( 2.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.07% ( 3.43) | 50.93% ( -3.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.2% ( 2.93) | 72.8% ( -2.93) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% ( 2.27) | 28.17% ( -2.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.14% ( 2.79) | 63.85% ( -2.79) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% ( 1.52) | 25.42% ( -1.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.76% ( 2.03) | 60.24% ( -2.03) |
Score Analysis |
Ross County | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.68) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.3) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.77% Total : 34.54% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -1.04) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.4) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.94) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.28) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
9 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
10 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |