Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 61.1% ( | 22.33% | 16.57% |
| Both teams to score 47.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.99% ( | 50.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.01% ( | 71.99% ( |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.1% ( | 15.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.85% ( | 45.15% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.63% ( | 43.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.39% | 79.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 12.68% 2-0 @ 11.66% ( 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 5.97% ( 4-0 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.49% 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 4-2 @ 1.15% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.02% Total : 61.1% | 1-1 @ 10.59% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.32% | 0-1 @ 5.76% 1-2 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.41% 1-3 @ 1.23% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.61% Total : 16.57% |