Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.