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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Kilmarnock logo

Aberdeen
4 - 1
Kilmarnock

Besuijen (22'), Miovski (24' pen., 45'), Stewart (63')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Taylor (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 3-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 16.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
61.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.33%16.57%
Both teams to score 47.62% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (0.0019999999999989 0)71.99% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.1% (0.0040000000000049 0)15.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)45.15%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)43.37% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.39%79.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 61.1%
    Kilmarnock 16.57%
    Draw 22.32%
AberdeenDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 12.68%
2-0 @ 11.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74%
3-0 @ 7.15%
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.28%
4-1 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.49%
5-0 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.15%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 61.1%
1-1 @ 10.59%
0-0 @ 6.9%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 22.32%
0-1 @ 5.76%
1-2 @ 4.43%
0-2 @ 2.41%
1-3 @ 1.23%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 16.57%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

Aberdeen
78.6%
Draw
7.1%
Kilmarnock
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 20, 2020 12pm
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
2-2
Aberdeen
Brophy (17' pen.), Kiltie (23')
(81')
McGinn (38'), McLennan (50')
Taylor (17'), Ferguson (64'), Logan (65'), McLennan (69'), Kennedy (80')
Feb 19, 2020 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
3-4
Aberdeen
El Makrini (43'), Brophy (98'), Kabamba (116')
Burke (64'), (119')
Considine (88'), Kennedy (91'), Johnson (120' og.), Cosgrove (120' pen.)
Considine (81')