Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 23.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-0 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.