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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Easter Road
Aberdeen logo

Hibernian
3 - 1
Aberdeen

Boyle (45+1' pen.), Campbell (62', 73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lopes (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ross County 1-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
HibernianDrawAberdeen
37.47% (-1.196 -1.2)28.18% (0.439 0.44)34.35% (0.755 0.76)
Both teams to score 47.18% (-1.19 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.03% (-1.53 -1.53)58.97% (1.526 1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.55% (-1.2 -1.2)79.44% (1.197 1.2)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (-1.464 -1.46)30.31% (1.461 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.5% (-1.782 -1.78)66.49% (1.78 1.78)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-0.28 -0.28)32.29% (0.278 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (-0.317 -0.32)68.79% (0.31400000000001 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 37.46%
    Aberdeen 34.35%
    Draw 28.17%
HibernianDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 11.68% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.146 -0.15)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 37.46%
1-1 @ 13.2% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 9.79% (0.552 0.55)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.17%
0-1 @ 11.06% (0.54 0.54)
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.25% (0.262 0.26)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.35%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Aberdeen

Hibernian
44.4%
Draw
18.5%
Aberdeen
37.0%
27
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 3pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Aberdeen
3-1
Hibernian
Ferguson (37' pen., 64' pen.), Besuijen (80')
McCrorie (22'), Bates (28')
Ramsey (20' og.)
Newell (16'), Campbell (62'), Stevenson (66'), Henderson (89')
Porteous (63')
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Hibernian
1-0
Aberdeen
Porteous (64')
Gogic (38'), Nisbet (76')

Hedges (88'), Ferguson (90+2')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Aberdeen
1-0
Hibernian
Ramirez (27')
Longstaff (45+4'), McCrorie (60'), Brown (62'), Hayes (90+3')

McGregor (33'), Boyle (79'), Newell (90+3')
McGregor (90+7')
May 12, 2021 7.45pm