Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cristian Montano 25' goal

Livingston vs Kilmarnock - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
Livingston 1 - 0 Hearts
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Jon Nouble

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
Hibernian 1 - 0 Kilmarnock
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Danny Armstrong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Livingston in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Livingston.

Result

Livingston 38.4% (-0.45)
Draw 28.17% (+0.03)
Kilmarnock 33.43% (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.07% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.95% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 59.05% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 20.49% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 79.51% (+0.04)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5 70.21% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 29.79% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 34.14% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 65.87% (+0.36)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5 67.05% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 32.96% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 30.46% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 69.54% (-0.29)

Score analysis

Livingston 38.39%
Draw 28.16%
Kilmarnock 33.42%
Livingston
1-0 @ 11.88% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.2% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 38.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.19% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.82% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.44% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.16%
Kilmarnock
0-1 @ 10.89% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 7.32% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 6.05% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.71% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.24% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.64% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.42%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 26
Jan 27, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marvin Bartley 40' yellowcard
  • Nicky Devlin 86' yellowcard
  • Jaze Kabia 89' goal
  • Scott Pittman 90' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Power 19'
  • yellowcard Brandon Haunstrup 69'
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 84'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nicke Kabamba 8' yellowcard
  • Chris Burke 48' goal
  • Chris Burke 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicky Devlin 47'
  • goal Jay Emmanuel-Thomas 51'
  • yellowcard Julien Serrano 57'
  • goal Scott Robinson 90'+3'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 11
Oct 17, 2020 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Scott Pittman 11' goal
  • Scott Tiffoney 27' yellowcard
  • Marvin Bartley 66' yellowcard
  • Jon Guthrie 84' yellowcard
  • Efe Ambrose 90' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Tshibola 24'
  • goal Chris Burke 37'
  • goal Greg Kiltie 57'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 33
Apr 4, 2020 3.00pm
Rugby Park
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 17
Dec 7, 2019 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tony Macaroni Arena (Livingston)
  • Jon Guthrie 54' goal
  • Lyndon Dykes 65' goal
  • Steven Lawless 81' goal
  • yellowcard Rory McKenzie 27'
  • yellowcard Alan Power 86'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Rugby Park (Kilmarnock)
  • Gary Dicker 39' goal
  • Rory McKenzie 55' goal
  • Alan Power 60' yellowcard
  • Dario Del Fabro 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Miller 63'
  • yellowcard Marvin Bartley 76'
  • goal Lee Miller 84'