Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 8

Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Almondvale Stadium

Livingston
1 - 0
Kilmarnock

Montano (25')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Livingston and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

Last Six:

Last Game: Livingston 1-0 Hearts
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	St Mirren	6	-2	9
7	Livingston	6	-4	9
8	Hibernian	6	0	8

Kilmarnock

Last Six:

Last Game: Hibernian 1-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Ross County	6	-7	4
11	Kilmarnock	6	-8	4
12	Dundee United	6	-16	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Livingston in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Livingston.

Result
Livingston	Draw	Kilmarnock
38.4% ( -0.45)	28.17% ( 0.03)	33.43% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 47.07% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.95% (

-0.04)

59.05% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.49% (

-0.03)

79.51% (

0.04)

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.21% (

-0.28)

29.79% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.14% (

-0.35)

65.87% (

0.35)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.05% (

0.27)

32.96% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.46% (

0.29)

69.54% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Livingston 38.39%

Kilmarnock 33.42%

Draw 28.16%

Livingston	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.39%	1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.16%	0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.42%