Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 17.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hibernian in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hibernian.