Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 11

Oct 16, 2022 at 3pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
2 - 0
Hearts

Lopes (74'), Besuijen (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Dundee Utd 4-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, October 8 at 6pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Hearts
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Hearts
59.57% ( -0.05)	21.69% ( 0.02)	18.74% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 53.81% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.12% (

-0.02)

43.88% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.73% (

-0.02)

66.27% (

0.02)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.65% (

-0.02)

14.35% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.79% (

-0.04)

42.21% (

0.05)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.83% (

0.03)

37.18% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.04% (

0.03)

73.96% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 59.56%

Hearts 18.74%

Draw 21.69%

Aberdeen	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 10.35% 2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 59.56%	1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.69%	0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 18.74%