Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.