UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 13, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
5 - 1
Hearts

Jovic (6'), Biraghi (22'), Gonzalez (32', 79' pen.), Barak (38')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Humphrys (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-4 Lazio
Monday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Hearts
Sunday, October 9 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Hearts
58.45% ( -0.09)	25.69% ( 0.06)	15.86% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 37.65% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.32% (

-0.12)

62.68% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.76% (

-0.09)

82.24% (

0.09)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.33% (

-0.09)

21.66% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.2% (

-0.14)

54.8% (

0.14)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.07% (

-0.03)

51.93% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.04% (

-0.02)

85.96% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 58.43%

Hearts 15.86%

Draw 25.68%

Fiorentina	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 17.2% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 58.43%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 15.86%