Conference League
Oct 13, 2022 5.45pm
5
1
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Luka Jovic 6' goal
  • Cristiano Biraghi 22' goal
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 32' goal
  • Antonin Barak 38' goal
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 79' goal
  • goal Stephen Humphrys 47'

Fiorentina vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 6, 2022 8.00pm
Hearts 0 - 3 Fiorentina

Hearts

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 6, 2022 8.00pm
Hearts 0 - 3 Fiorentina

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result

Fiorentina 58.45% (-0.10)
Draw 25.69% (+0.06)
Hearts 15.86% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.65% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.32% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 62.68% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 17.76% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 82.24% (+0.10)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 78.33% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 21.66% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 45.2% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 54.8% (+0.14)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 48.07% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 51.93% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 14.04% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 85.96% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 58.43%
Draw 25.68%
Hearts 15.86%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 17.2% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 13.15% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.71% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 58.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.25% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 25.68%
Hearts
0-1 @ 7.37% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 3.69% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 15.86%

Head to Head

Conference League
Oct 6, 2022 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Rolando Mandragora 4'
  • goal Christian Kouame 42'
  • goal Luka Jovic 79'