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Serie A

Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Lazio logo

Fiorentina
0 - 4
Lazio

FT(HT: 0-2)
Vecino (11'), Zaccagni (25'), Alberto (85'), Immobile (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Hearts 0-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-0 Lazio
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawLazio
47.7% (0.657 0.66)25.16% (-0.194 -0.19)27.13% (-0.462 -0.46)
Both teams to score 53.2% (0.265 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.19% (0.515 0.52)49.81% (-0.514 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19% (0.458 0.46)71.81% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.1% (0.498 0.5)20.9% (-0.497 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.38% (0.774 0.77)53.62% (-0.774 -0.77)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)32.74% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.7% (-0.1 -0.1)69.3% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 47.7%
    Lazio 27.13%
    Draw 25.16%
FiorentinaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 10.71% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.38% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.067 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.7%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 27.13%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Lazio

Fiorentina
17.8%
Draw
11.5%
Lazio
70.7%
314
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 7.45pm
Fiorentina
0-3
Lazio

Bonaventura (50'), Torreira (55')
Torreira (85')
Milinkovic-Savic (52'), Immobile (70'), Biraghi (81' og.)
Leiva (30'), Pedro (45+1'), Lazzari (67'), Patric (83'), Strakosha (85')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Lazio
1-0
Fiorentina
Pedro (52')
Cataldi (56'), Alberto (78'), Immobile (81')

Castrovilli (24'), Biraghi (47'), Duncan (68')
May 8, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
2-0
Lazio
Vlahovic (32', 89')
Venuti (5'), Vlahovic (44'), Pezzella (58'), Iachini (88'), Caceres (90+2')

Acerbi (28'), Leiva (60'), Radu (66'), Felipe (74'), Pereira (77'), Cataldi (90+1'), Akpa-Akpro (90+6')
Pereira (90+5')
Jan 6, 2021 2pm
Lazio
2-1
Fiorentina
Caicedo (6'), Immobile (75')
Felipe (43'), Escalante (45'), Hoedt (87')
Vlahovic (88' pen.)
Castrovilli (82')
Jun 27, 2020 8.45pm
Lazio
2-1
Fiorentina