Europa League
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT MCH Arena
  • Paulinho 26' goal
  • Sory Kaba 30' goal
  • Evander 52' goal
  • Gustav Isaksen 67' goal
  • Erik Sviatchenko 72' goal
  • goal Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 57'

FC Midtjylland vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Midtjylland

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 8, 2022 8.00pm
Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Midtjylland

Lazio

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 8, 2022 8.00pm
Lazio 4 - 2 Feyenoord

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 43%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.

Result

FC Midtjylland 43% (+0.06)
Draw 24.93% (+0.04)
Lazio 32.06% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.9% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.7% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 46.3% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 31.41% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 68.59% (+0.19)

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5 78.46% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 21.55% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 45.38% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 54.62% (+0.09)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 72.53% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 27.47% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 37.04% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 62.96% (+0.20)

Score analysis

FC Midtjylland 43%
Draw 24.93%
Lazio 32.06%
FC Midtjylland
1-0 @ 9.09% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.01% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.97% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.57% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.73% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.92% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.93%
Lazio
0-1 @ 7.65% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.06%