Potential new EL header

Europa League

Midtjylland
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
MCH Arena
Lazio logo

Midtjylland
5 - 1
Lazio

Paulinho (26'), Kaba (30'), Evander (52' pen.), Isaksen (67'), Sviatchenko (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Milinkovic-Savic (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between FC Midtjylland and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Midtjylland

Last Six:
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 1-1 Midtjylland
Sunday, September 11 at 1pm in Danish Superliga

Lazio

Last Six:
Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, September 11 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 43%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.

Result
FC MidtjyllandDrawLazio
43% (0.053999999999995 0.05)24.93% (0.038 0.04)32.06% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.9% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.7% (-0.199 -0.2)46.3% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.41% (-0.188 -0.19)68.59% (0.185 0.19)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.46% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)21.55% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)54.62% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-0.158 -0.16)27.47% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (-0.202 -0.2)62.96% (0.198 0.2)
Score Analysis
    FC Midtjylland 43%
    Lazio 32.06%
    Draw 24.93%
FC MidtjyllandDrawLazio
1-0 @ 9.09% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 6.97% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.65% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.06%

How you voted: Midtjylland vs Lazio

FC Midtjylland
11.7%
Draw
8.7%
Lazio
79.6%
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