| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Hellas Verona | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 4 | -5 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Napoli | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| 5 | Lazio | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Atalanta BC | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Lazio |
| 23.4% ( | 24.64% ( | 51.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.36% ( | 50.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.45% ( | 72.55% ( |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.64% ( | 36.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.85% ( | 73.15% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( | 19.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.68% ( | 51.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 2-1 @ 5.93% ( 2-0 @ 3.62% ( 3-1 @ 2% ( 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 3-0 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 23.4% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0-2 @ 9.48% ( 1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0-3 @ 5.17% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0-4 @ 2.12% ( 2-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 51.96% |