| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Lazio | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Torino | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 2 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Roma | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 24.72% ( | 22.52% ( | 52.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.87% ( | 40.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.5% ( | 62.5% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% ( | 29.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.49% ( | 65.51% ( |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% ( | 15.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.01% ( | 43.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 6.31% ( 1-0 @ 5.5% ( 2-0 @ 3.36% ( 3-1 @ 2.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 3-0 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 3.2% Total : 24.72% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.51% | 1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0-2 @ 7.95% ( 1-3 @ 6.08% ( 0-3 @ 4.98% ( 2-3 @ 3.71% ( 1-4 @ 2.86% ( 0-4 @ 2.34% ( 2-4 @ 1.74% ( 1-5 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 3.84% Total : 52.76% |