| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Lazio | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Roma | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Spezia | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 10.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 3-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Spezia |
| 74.4% ( | 15.23% ( | 10.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.05% ( | 31.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.49% ( | 53.51% ( |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.71% ( | 7.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.64% ( | 26.36% ( |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.83% ( | 41.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.29% ( | 77.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Spezia |
| 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 3-0 @ 8.98% ( 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 1-0 @ 7.85% ( 4-0 @ 5.88% ( 4-1 @ 5.22% ( 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 5-0 @ 3.08% ( 5-1 @ 2.74% ( 4-2 @ 2.32% ( 6-0 @ 1.35% ( 5-2 @ 1.21% ( 6-1 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.63% Total : 74.39% | 1-1 @ 6.97% ( 2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0-0 @ 3% ( 3-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.23% | 1-2 @ 3.09% ( 0-1 @ 2.66% ( 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0-2 @ 1.18% ( 1-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.32% Total : 10.37% |