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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Spezia Calcio logo

Inter Milan
3 - 0
Spezia

Martinez (35'), Calhanoglu (52'), Correa (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 1-0 Empoli
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Spezia

Almost invulnerable on home soil in recent years, Inter are unlikely to yield to such modest opponents as Spezia, even if sealing last week's win was a struggle. The Nerazzurri have averaged two goals a game over their last six matches, including pre-season, which highlights their fearsome attacking potential. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 10.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 3-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
74.4% (0.925 0.92) 15.23% (-0.441 -0.44) 10.37% (-0.48 -0.48)
Both teams to score 54.54% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.05% (0.753 0.75)31.95% (-0.751 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.49% (0.875 0.88)53.51% (-0.874 -0.87)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.71% (0.363 0.36)7.28% (-0.3619 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.64% (0.941 0.94)26.36% (-0.94 -0.94)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.83% (-0.328 -0.33)41.17% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.29% (-0.295 -0.29)77.71% (0.29600000000001 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 74.39%
    Spezia 10.37%
    Draw 15.23%
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 8.98% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.85% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-0 @ 5.88% (0.198 0.2)
4-1 @ 5.22% (0.13 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.08% (0.159 0.16)
5-1 @ 2.74% (0.118 0.12)
4-2 @ 2.32% (0.037 0.04)
6-0 @ 1.35% (0.093 0.09)
5-2 @ 1.21% (0.042 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 74.39%
1-1 @ 6.97% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.23%
1-2 @ 3.09% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-1 @ 2.66% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 10.37%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Spezia

Inter Milan
85.7%
Draw
7.8%
Spezia
6.5%
77
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 6pm
Spezia
1-3
Inter Milan
Maggiore (88')
Bastoni (10'), Nikolaou (86')
Brozovic (31'), Martinez (73'), Sanchez (90+3')
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
Inter Milan
2-0
Spezia
Gagliardini (36'), Martinez (58' pen.)
Martinez (44')

Manaj (31'), Kiwior (57')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
Inter Milan
2-1
Spezia
Hakimi (52'), Lukaku (71' pen.)
Brozovic (18'), Conte (64')
Piccoli (90+4')
N'Zola (41'), Terzi (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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