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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Spezia Calcio logo

Inter Milan
3 - 0
Spezia

Martinez (35'), Calhanoglu (52'), Correa (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 1-0 Empoli
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 10.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 3-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
74.4% (0.925 0.92)15.23% (-0.441 -0.44)10.37% (-0.48 -0.48)
Both teams to score 54.54% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.05% (0.753 0.75)31.95% (-0.751 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.49% (0.875 0.88)53.51% (-0.874 -0.87)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.71% (0.363 0.36)7.28% (-0.3619 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.64% (0.941 0.94)26.36% (-0.94 -0.94)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.83% (-0.328 -0.33)41.17% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.29% (-0.295 -0.29)77.71% (0.29600000000001 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 74.39%
    Spezia 10.37%
    Draw 15.23%
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 8.98% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.85% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-0 @ 5.88% (0.198 0.2)
4-1 @ 5.22% (0.13 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.08% (0.159 0.16)
5-1 @ 2.74% (0.118 0.12)
4-2 @ 2.32% (0.037 0.04)
6-0 @ 1.35% (0.093 0.09)
5-2 @ 1.21% (0.042 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 74.39%
1-1 @ 6.97% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.23%
1-2 @ 3.09% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-1 @ 2.66% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 10.37%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Spezia

Inter Milan
85.7%
Draw
7.8%
Spezia
6.5%
77
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 6pm
Spezia
1-3
Inter Milan
Maggiore (88')
Bastoni (10'), Nikolaou (86')
Brozovic (31'), Martinez (73'), Sanchez (90+3')
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
Inter Milan
2-0
Spezia
Gagliardini (36'), Martinez (58' pen.)
Martinez (44')

Manaj (31'), Kiwior (57')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
Inter Milan
2-1
Spezia
Hakimi (52'), Lukaku (71' pen.)
Brozovic (18'), Conte (64')
Piccoli (90+4')
N'Zola (41'), Terzi (42')