Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Lautaro Martinez 35' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 52' goal
  • Joaquin Correa 82' goal

Inter Milan vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
Lecce 1 - 2 Inter Milan
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 14, 2022 7.45pm
Spezia 1 - 0 Empoli
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Mbala N'Zola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 10.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 3-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Inter Milan 74.4% (+0.93)
Draw 15.23% (-0.45)
Spezia 10.37% (-0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.54% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.05% (+0.76)
Under 2.5 31.95% (-0.76)
Over 3.5 46.49% (+0.88)
Under 3.5 53.51% (-0.88)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 92.71% (+0.37)
Under 0.5 7.28% (-0.37)
Over 1.5 73.64% (+0.95)
Under 1.5 26.36% (-0.94)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 58.83% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 41.17% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 22.29% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 77.71% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 74.39%
Draw 15.23%
Spezia 10.37%
Inter Milan
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 8.98% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 7.97% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.85% (-0.18)
4-0 @ 5.88% (+0.20)
4-1 @ 5.22% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.08% (+0.16)
5-1 @ 2.74% (+0.12)
4-2 @ 2.32% (+0.04)
6-0 @ 1.35% (+0.10)
5-2 @ 1.21% (+0.05)
6-1 @ 1.2% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 74.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.97% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 3% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.23%
Spezia
1-2 @ 3.09% (-0.13)
0-1 @ 2.66% (-0.14)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.18% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 10.37%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2022 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Simone Bastoni 10' yellowcard
  • Dimitrios Nikolaou 86' yellowcard
  • Giulio Maggiore 88' goal
  • goal Marcelo Brozovic 31'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 73'
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Roberto Gagliardini 36' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 44' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 58' goal
  • yellowcard Rey Manaj 31'
  • yellowcard Jakub Kiwior 57'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Diego Farias 12' goal
  • Riccardo Marchizza 62' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Estevez 89' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Perisic 39'
Serie A Gameweek 13
Dec 20, 2020 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcelo Brozovic 18' yellowcard
  • Achraf Hakimi 52' goal
  • Antonio Conte 64' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 71' goal
  • yellowcard Mbala N'Zola 41'
  • yellowcard Claudio Terzi 42'
  • goal Roberto Piccoli 90'+4'