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Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Merkur Arena
Midtjylland

Sturm Graz
1 - 0
Midtjylland

Emegha (8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and FC Midtjylland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

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Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-2 Dynamo Kiev
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.30pm in Champions League
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FC Midtjylland

Last Six:
Last Game: Midtjylland 0-2 AaB
Sunday, September 4 at 5pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawFC Midtjylland
41.59% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)24.29% (0.014000000000003 0.01)34.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 59.88% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)42.71% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.88% (-0.061 -0.06)65.12% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)20.68% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)53.27% (0.055 0.05)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)24.5% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)58.96% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 41.59%
    FC Midtjylland 34.12%
    Draw 24.29%
Sturm GrazDrawFC Midtjylland
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 41.59%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 7.13% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.12%

How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Midtjylland

Sturm Graz
37.8%
Draw
22.7%
FC Midtjylland
39.5%
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