Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.