Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
1 - 2
Dynamo Kiev

Hojlund (27')
Gorenc Stankovic (11'), Gazibegovic (90+5'), Sarkaria (90+5'), Wuthrich (105+2'), Prass (111'), Demaku (120+1')

FT
(aet)

Vivcharenko (97'), Tsygankov (112')
Sydorchuk (90+5'), Harmash (93'), Karavaev (100'), Vanat (105+2'), Bushchan (115'), Tsygankov (116')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sturm Graz and Dynamo Kiev, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-0 Sturm Graz
Wednesday, August 3 at 7pm in Champions League

Dynamo Kiev

Last Six:

Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-0 Sturm Graz
Wednesday, August 3 at 7pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	14	30	35
2	Dynamo Kiev	14	28	35
3	Zorya Luhansk	14	17	29

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 24.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
49.62% ( 0.1)	25.94% ( -0.04)	24.43% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 48.49% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.18% (

0.12)

54.82% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.88% (

0.1)

76.12% (

-0.1)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.87% (

0.09)

22.13% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.5% (

0.14)

55.5% (

-0.14)

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.27% (

0.02)

37.73% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.49% (

0.02)

74.51% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 49.62%

Dynamo Kiev 24.43%

Draw 25.94%

Sturm Graz	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 12.59% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 49.62%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.94%	0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 24.43%