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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 27, 2022 at 6pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi
Dynamo Kiev

Fenerbahce
1 - 2
Dynamo Kiev

Szalai (89')
Yuksek (29'), Osayi-Samuel (37'), Valencia (45+3'), Mor (63'), Szalai (98')
Yuksek (53')
FT
(aet)
Buyalskyy (57'), Karavaev (114')
Tsygankov (14'), Sydorchuk (33'), Dubinchak (45+3'), Buyalskyy (58'), Shaparenko (60'), Popov (68'), Harmash (111')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Fenerbahce and Dynamo Kiev, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: Fenerbahce 1-1 Dynamo Kiev (Fenerbahce to win 2-1 after extra time)

Both sides cancelled each other out in the first leg last week and another closely-fought contest is set to be played out on Wednesday. There has to be a winner in the second leg, however, and while the tie may not be settled in 90 minutes, we feel that Fenerbahce will do enough to edge themselves through to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 24.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
FenerbahceDrawDynamo Kiev
49.88% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 25.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.94% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.24% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.55% (0.047000000000004 0.05)51.45% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.74% (0.039999999999999 0.04)73.26% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.35% (0.0019999999999953 0)20.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)53.21% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57% (0.056999999999988 0.06)35.42% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.81% (0.060000000000002 0.06)72.18% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 49.87%
    Dynamo Kiev 24.94%
    Draw 25.17%
FenerbahceDrawDynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 9.1% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 49.87%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.94% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 24.94%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Dynamo Kiev

Fenerbahce
77.4%
Draw
16.7%
Dynamo Kiev
6.0%
84
Head to Head
Jul 20, 2022 7pm
rhs 2.0
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