Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.