Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 9, 2022 at 6.45pm UK

MCH Arena

Midtjylland
1 - 3
Benfica

(Benfica win 7-2 on aggregate)

Sisto (63')
Onyedika (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fernandez (23'), Araujo (56'), Goncalves (88')
Ramos (29'), Silva (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between FC Midtjylland and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

Last Six:

Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Arouca
Friday, August 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Porto	1	4	3
2	Benfica	1	4	3
3	Estoril Praia	1	2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
FC Midtjylland	Draw	Benfica
29.47% ( 0.02)	24.44% ( 0.01)	46.09% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 57.25% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.75% (

-0.04)

45.25% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.41% (

-0.04)

67.59% (

0.04)

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.34% (

-0)

28.66% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.52% (

-0.01)

64.48% (

0.01)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.26% (

-0.03)

19.75% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.22% (

-0.05)

51.78% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

FC Midtjylland 29.47%

Benfica 46.09%

Draw 24.43%

FC Midtjylland	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.47%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 46.09%