Champions League
Aug 9, 2022 6.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT MCH Arena
  • Pione Sisto 63' goal
  • Raphael Onyedika 69' yellowcard
  • goal Enzo Fernandez 23'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Ramos 29'
  • yellowcard Rafa Silva 40'
  • goal Henrique Araujo 56'
  • goal Diogo Goncalves 88'

FC Midtjylland vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Midtjylland

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Aug 2, 2022 8.00pm
Benfica 4 - 1 Midtjylland

Benfica

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Aug 2, 2022 8.00pm
Benfica 4 - 1 Midtjylland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result

FC Midtjylland 29.47% (+0.03)
Draw 24.44% (+0.02)
Benfica 46.09% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.25% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.75% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 45.25% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 32.41% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.59% (+0.05)

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5 71.34% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.66% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 35.52% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 64.48% (+0.01)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 80.26% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 19.75% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 48.22% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 51.78% (+0.06)

Score analysis

FC Midtjylland 29.47%
Draw 24.43%
Benfica 46.09%
FC Midtjylland
2-1 @ 7.17% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.07% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.99% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.84% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 29.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.66% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.43%
Benfica
1-2 @ 9.31% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.18% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.45% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.03% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 46.09%

Head to Head

Champions League
Aug 2, 2022 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Goncalo Ramos 17' goal
  • Nicolas Otamendi 22' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 33' goal
  • Enzo Fernandez 40' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 61' goal
  • Morato 77' yellowcard
  • goal Pione Sisto 78'