Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
4 - 0
Arouca

Gilberto (8'), Silva (42', 86'), Fernandez (45+6')
Luis (55'), Weigl (82'), Silva (83')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Opoku (1')
Quaresma (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

Last Six:

Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Midtjylland
Tuesday, August 2 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Arouca	0	0	0
2	Benfica	0	0	0
3	Boavista	0	0	0

Arouca

Last Six:

Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Arouca	0	0	0
2	Benfica	0	0	0
3	Boavista	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.88%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 10.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Arouca
73.88% ( -0.07)	16.02% ( 0)	10.11% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 50.22% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.16% (

0.22)

36.84% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.99% (

0.24)

59.01% (

-0.23)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.45% (

0.04)

8.55% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.43% (

0.09)

29.57% (

-0.09)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.91% (

0.28)

45.09% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19% (

0.23)

81% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Benfica 73.87%

Arouca 10.11%

Draw 16.02%

Benfica	Draw	Arouca
2-0 @ 11.65% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.89% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.19% 6-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 73.87%	1-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.91% Total : 16.02%	0-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 10.11%