Primeira Liga
Gameweek
1
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-
Gilberto
8'
-
Rafa Silva
42'
-
Enzo Fernandez
45'+6'
-
Florentino Luis
55'
-
Julian Weigl
82'
-
Rafa Silva
83'
-
Rafa Silva
86'
-
Jerome Opoku
1'
-
Mateus Quaresma
45'+1'
Benfica vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 73.88%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 10.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Benfica
73.88%
▼
(-0.07)
Draw
16.02%
▲
(+0.01)
Arouca
10.11%
▲
(+0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
50.22%
▲
(+0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.16%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 2.5
36.84%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 3.5
40.99%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 3.5
59.01%
▼
(-0.24)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
91.45%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
8.55%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
70.43%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
29.57%
▼
(-0.10)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5
54.91%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 0.5
45.09%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 1.5
19%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 1.5
81%
▼
(-0.23)
Score analysis
Benfica
73.87%
Draw
16.02%
Arouca
10.11%
Benfica
2-0
@
11.65%
▼
(-0.09)
3-0 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 9.48% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 73.87%
3-0 @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 9.48% ▼ (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.68% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.04)
5-0 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 73.87%
Draw
1-1
@
7.55%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 16.02%
0-0 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 16.02%
Arouca
0-1
@
3.07%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 10.11%
1-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 10.11%