Champions League
-
Goncalo Ramos
17'
-
Nicolas Otamendi
22'
-
Goncalo Ramos
33'
-
Enzo Fernandez
40'
-
Goncalo Ramos
61'
-
Morato
77'
-
Pione Sisto 78'
Benfica vs FC Midtjylland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Benfica
41.67%
Draw
23.78%
▼
(-0.01)
FC Midtjylland
34.55%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
61.87%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.83%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
40.17%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
37.46%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
62.54%
▼
(-0.05)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
80.42%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
19.57%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
48.5%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
51.5%
▼
(-0.04)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5
76.93%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
23.07%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
43.09%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
56.9%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Benfica
41.67%
Draw
23.78%
FC Midtjylland
34.55%
Benfica
2-1
@
8.81%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 41.67%
1-0 @ 7.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 41.67%
Draw
1-1
@
10.8%
2-2 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.78%
2-2 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.78%
FC Midtjylland
1-2
@
7.92%
0-1 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 34.55%
0-1 @ 6.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 34.55%