Champions League
Aug 2, 2022 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Goncalo Ramos 17' goal
  • Nicolas Otamendi 22' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 33' goal
  • Enzo Fernandez 40' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 61' goal
  • Morato 77' yellowcard
  • goal Pione Sisto 78'

Benfica vs FC Midtjylland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

FC Midtjylland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result

Benfica 41.67%
Draw 23.78% (-0.01)
FC Midtjylland 34.55% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.87% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.83% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 40.17% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 37.46% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 62.54% (-0.05)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 80.42% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 19.57% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 48.5% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 51.5% (-0.04)

FC Midtjylland Goals

Over 0.5 76.93% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 23.07% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 43.09% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 56.9% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Benfica 41.67%
Draw 23.78%
FC Midtjylland 34.55%
Benfica
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.37% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.79% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.27% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.95% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 41.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.46% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.52% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.78%
FC Midtjylland
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.86% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.87% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.16% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 34.55%